THE FUTURE WORLD ECONOMY?
What is ahead for the future of the world's economy and our global marketplace?
Over the last 50 years since World War II the wealth of the United States has
grown to an unprecedented level. Most people 50 years ago could not have dreamed
that so many would enjoy the kind of things that those of our generation can enjoy
from bigger and modern houses to all the wonderous array of electronic gadgets
we have such as computers, mobile phones, DVD's and so on.
On the surface the economy looks sound and based on a solid foundation if we judge
by the sheer volume of goods that are being traded in our western nations but
what lies underneath? Is our economy really that good and is the economic expansion
we've seen over the last decade truly sustainable?
In an article entitled Problems with Globalization Michael Balson
writes: The Market doesn't really care about people, it is driven only by
profit
A small group of people are becoming extremely rich, while the vast
majority are becoming desperately poor. Even in the super-wealthy USA, there is
a ballooning underclass known as the working poor earning between $5 - $6 dollars
an hour, 40 million people have no health cover, and the richest 1% has the same
combined wealth as the bottom 95% (http://communitycauldron.com/globalisationissues/balson.html).
Financial expert Jim Puplava in his article series The Perfect Financial
Storm (www.financialsense.com/series2/perspectives2.htm)
makes these comments on the state of the economy and the dangers of the debt bubble
upon which it is built:
Our economic expansion is the longest running expansion on record. Unemployment
is the lowest it has been in over three decades. Inflation is nonexistent. Interest
rates are historically low. Our stock market has delivered double-digit gains
for the last five years and created unprecedented wealth
the supply of money
in the economy has been allowed to expand at above-normal rates. By keeping the
printing presses running, the Fed has kept the financial system pumped up with
liquidity. It has also served to suppress the true cost of credit by making it
amply available
If easy money and low interest rates have helped to spawn record debt at
the consumer level, it has also fed into a corporate debt frenzy... At some point,
all of this debt will come home to roost. Consumers can't spend and borrow forever.
Eventually the reality of interest payments will set in. If growth in the economy
begins to slow, and as a consequence unemployment increases, debt burdens could
become unsustainable
A decline in the stock market will have dramatic supply and demand effects.
A significant drop in stock prices would mean a loss of wealth, which also implies
a reduction in consumption. Collapsing stock prices will also have a direct effect
on the federal budget. The budget surpluses over the next decade assume over $900
billion in tax revenues coming from capital gains. The loss of capital gain tax
revenues that would come from a bear market in stocks, combined with an economic
downturn, could lead once again to a large federal budget deficit.
It seems fair to conclude that the high levels of debt in our economy now
pose a risk to the financial system
The dangers of a severe and prolonged
recession are being seriously underestimated. The credit expansion that has created
this financial bubble is not sustainable. The Clinton Administration and the Fed
daily proclaim the economic miracles of the era. In reality they have created
an economic and financial bubble of epic proportion. Efforts should have been
made to deflate this bubble years ago. But the political capital of this credit
boom has been hard to resist. Unfortunately, our generation and our children's
generation will very likely pay a substantial price for this policy failure.
If our economic system is built on a faulty foundation is there a better system
and will there be a happy ending for the future of our global economy?
Being a history buff I was quite surprised to learn many years ago about a revolutionary
set of economic laws that were practiced a long time ago that address some of
the fundamental weaknesses in our financial system. Surprisingly, those laws are
found in the world's best selling book yet they have rarely been noticed by the
world at large.
Given the volatility of the global economic system in our world today it might
be worthwhile taking a few moments in this article to look at the economic laws
found in the Bible and see how they compare with our current economic system.
Little of the money that is printed and introduced into our monetary system today
is backed by anything of real value such as gold. Howard Rand describes the Biblical
principle of a just medium of exchange with these words:
It is clear from a study of the Israel system of exchange that a unit of
value was established, fixed in its relation to goods, with silver part of the
monetary system to increase volume with increase in goods
The only foundation
on which true prosperity can rest, with an unlimited expansion of industry and
enterprise and an increase in productionwithout having a corresponding increase
in poverty in the midst of plentyis an adequate and equitable medium of
exchange. This medium must be a perfect weight and measure regarding the value
of goods [Deuteronomy 25:15] (Digest of Divine Law, p90).
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By using something that is common like silver compared to gold that is used
to only partially back our money it can much better keep up with the increase
in the production of goods and prevent our goods, labour and paper money from
dropping in value. Rand continues:
Instead of fluctuation in prices there would be a fluctuation in the volume
of the medium of exchange. Increased production would mean increased purchasing
power in the increase in the circularisation of an increased medium of exchange
Today,
with no adequate method of balancing gold against supply and demand, fluctuation
in prices is inevitable. But when money can be made to expand with the increase
in goods men can always produce at a profit, for prices will have become stabilized.
The production of goods will then be as profitable as the mining of gold
(ibid, p.90).
The Biblical laws on the ownership of land are quite revolutionary and would go
a long way towards eliminating poverty. In the Biblical laws on land ownership
the earth belongs to the Creator (Psalm 24:1) and land itself cannot be
sold and horded by individuals, companies and governments. Everyone, rich or poor,
had an inheritance and their own land to grow their own food and produce goods
which could not be taken from them. Imagine if everyone today had their own piece
of property which they owned outright and could use to provide for themselves.
When a person in ancient Israel mismanaged their finances to the point where they
had to sell their inheritance they weren't selling their land as such but the
productivity of the land. If it was 40 years to the next Jubilee (held every 50
years) then it sold for 40 years worth of productivity; 30 years to the next Jubilee
meant it could only be sold for 30 years worth of productivity as opposed to what
the market would pay (Leviticus 25:8-17). The land could be bought back
or redeemed at any time by the person whose inheritance it was or by his immediate
family. The rights of the poor had precedence over those rich profiteers who bought
it off them in that they could buy the land back at any time and have it restored
to them. This system would help many of the smaller farmers today who have had
to sell their farms to giant agricultural conglomerates.
In our society today people sell land for as much as they can get and try
to make a profit on the sale of the land. If the price of land continues to rise
because everyone is trying to make a profit when they sell it, this increase fuels
inflation. If people need more to buy property they need to make more money and
this drives up wages which, in turn, drives up the price of goods. The Biblical
system of buying and selling property deflates this problem.
The original Israelite tax, the tithe, was only payable on one's increase (Deuteronomy
14:22). There were no taxes on sales or spending. The only major tax, the
tithe, was 10 percent payable to the Levites, the ancient equivalent of today's
civil service (Numbers 18:21). Only a tenth of that tithe went to the priesthood
(Numbers 18:21). Today governments provide a vast array of services, compared
to ancient times, which require much more taxes to pay for.
A couple more Biblical principles, if followed, would provide governments with
much more money to provide for those services. A major part of the Federal government's
budget is welfare. The Biblical welfare system consisted of two parts. The first
is gleaning. This was the major way to provide for those who were poor. The poor
who were able to work, worked the land and gleaned the crops and fruit of the
harvest that was missed by farmers (Leviticus 19:9-10). Another tithe collected
two years in every seven made up the slack and provided for those who weren't
able to glean the fields (Deuteronomy 14:28-29). Another source of potential
government income is the minerals of a nation which are owned by the nation's
people as a whole, not just the mining companies.
How much better off would we be if we followed these economic laws today? Perhaps
we might be much better off without the threat of recession or depression once
our supply of credit is finally tapped out. And maybe we wouldn't have this ever
growing gap between the rich and the poor in our western world. It's a system
that has hardly ever been tried out.
Will it ever be tried in the future? The scriptures often speak of a time when
the Messiah will return and usher in a glorious Kingdom to rule the world in which
the statutes of the Bible will be law, so maybe, just maybe, we may live to see
the day when these laws will be tried out and we will have the chance to compare
and see which is the better economic system.